Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.003489 0.003817 0.004166 0.004568 0.005019 0.005510 0.006086
2025-12-14 0.002901 0.003353 0.003870 0.004508 0.005279 0.006190 0.007355
2025-12-21 0.002535 0.003036 0.003636 0.004412 0.005403 0.006639 0.008321
2025-12-28 0.002290 0.002822 0.003480 0.004367 0.005547 0.007091 0.009305
2026-01-04 0.002130 0.002689 0.003403 0.004398 0.005774 0.007652 0.010479
2026-01-11 0.001966 0.002533 0.003276 0.004341 0.005864 0.008019 0.011407
2026-01-18 0.001834 0.002406 0.003173 0.004302 0.005967 0.008404 0.012393
2026-01-25 0.001716 0.002287 0.003069 0.004248 0.006034 0.008733 0.013321
2026-02-01 0.001632 0.002209 0.003015 0.004258 0.006194 0.009212 0.014542
2026-02-08 0.001539 0.002111 0.002925 0.004206 0.006247 0.009522 0.015509
2026-02-15 0.001449 0.002012 0.002825 0.004127 0.006251 0.009746 0.016345
2026-02-22 0.001394 0.001961 0.002792 0.004151 0.006418 0.010257 0.017763
2026-03-01 0.001361 0.001943 0.002813 0.004267 0.006762 0.011129 0.020042
2026-03-08 0.001289 0.001861 0.002731 0.004211 0.006808 0.011481 0.021362
2026-03-15 0.001216 0.001775 0.002635 0.004123 0.006789 0.011706 0.022453
2026-03-22 0.001160 0.001710 0.002569 0.004081 0.006846 0.012080 0.023918
2026-03-29 0.001122 0.001673 0.002546 0.004110 0.007035 0.012730 0.026108
2026-04-05 0.001071 0.001612 0.002480 0.004057 0.007063 0.013059 0.027607
2026-04-12 0.001028 0.001561 0.002426 0.004022 0.007122 0.013455 0.029336
2026-04-19 0.000985 0.001507 0.002366 0.003972 0.007145 0.013777 0.030934
2026-04-26 0.000955 0.001475 0.002339 0.003981 0.007290 0.014378 0.033375
2026-05-03 0.000917 0.001428 0.002284 0.003933 0.007309 0.014701 0.035127
2026-05-10 0.000878 0.001376 0.002220 0.003861 0.007273 0.014891 0.036545